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The Times Poll - May 2009

Fieldwork: May 27th 2009 - May 28th 2009

published by The Times

Change since previous Times poll (May 8th-10th) shown in brackets

Labour21% (-5%)
Conservative41% (+2%)
Lib Dem15% (-7%)
Others23% (+10%)

The 23% for ‘Others' breaks down as:

UKIP 8%
Green 5%
BNP 4%
SNP 4%
Plaid Cymru1%
Others 1%

Which party will you vote for in the European elections on June 4th? Will it be [rotate order] Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, SNP [Scotland only], Plaid Cymru [Wales only], UKIP, BNP, Green or another party?

If ‘another party':

Will that be (rotate order) Veritas, the Jury Team, Libertas or some other party - or do you not know how you will vote?

[Change since last poll, May 8th-10th, shown in brackets]

 LabourConservativeLib DemSNPPlaid CymruUKIPBNPGreenOthersNet Con lead
General election21%
(-5%)
41%
(+2%)
15%
(-7%)
4%
(+1%)
1%
(-)
8%
(+5%)
4%
(+1%)
5%
(+3%)
1%
(-)
20%
(+7%)
European elections16%
(-9%)
30%
(-4%)
12%
(-8%)
2%
(-2%)
1%
(-1%)
19%
(+13%)
5%
(+3%)
10%
(+5%)
4%
(+2%)
11%
(-6%)
Difference-5%-11%-3%-2%-+11%%+1%+5%+3% 

Which of the three main political parties – (rotate order) Conservative, Labour or Liberal Democrat - do you think has been most badly damaged by the recent coverage of abuse of the system of Parliamentary allowances by some MPs and which the least damaged If you think that all the main political parties have been damaged about equally, or that none of them have really been damaged by this, please say so?

MOST DAMAGEDAllMenWomenABC1C2DELabConLDOthers
Labour35%40%32%38%41%31%30%19%56%40%38%
Conservative7%8%7%7%8%5%8%19%2%19%7%
Lib Dem1%1%0%0%1%1%1%1%0%0%1%
All equally50%47%53%51%43%55%55%54%38%39%48%
None2%2%1%1%3%1%1%3%0%1%0%
LEAST DAMAGEDAllMenWomenABC1C2DELabConLDOthers
Labour1%2%1%0%1%2%3%5%0%1%2%
Conservative4%5%4%4%6%5%3%3%10%0%3%
Lib Dem35%38%32%39%40%27%31%27%45%54%41%
Don't know58%54%61%57%52%64%61%65%44%42%53%

And which of the three main party leaders – (rotate order) Gordon Brown, David Cameron or Nick Clegg - do you think has been most badly damaged by the recent coverage of abuse of the system of Parliamentary allowances by some MPs and which the least damaged? If you think that all the main party leaders have been damaged about equally, or that none of them have really been damaged by this, please say so?

MOST DAMAGEDAllMenWomenABC1C2DELabConLDOthers
Brown62%68%57%65%62%65%55%50%76%67%64%
Cameron5%4%5%6%4%3%7%11%3%6%6%
Clegg1%1%1%1%1%0%1%2%1%1%0%
All equally25%22%28%22%26%23%28%30%14%22%22%
None3%2%3%2%4%1%3%2%3%4%3%
LEAST DAMAGEDAllMenWomenABC1C2DELabConLDOthers
Brown3%3%3%0%3%3%6%10%3%3%2%
Cameron27%29%25%25%29%34%20%29%31%18%30%
Clegg56%60%52%63%58%47%55%51%55%78%59%
Don't know11%7%15%11%7%13%15%10%10%1%5%

I am going to read out a list of possible reforms to Britain's political system and the way that Parliament works. For each one, please say if you think it is a reform that would improve the way that Britain's political system works, or if you think it would make things worse. If you think it wouldn't make much difference either way please say so.

% saying 'would improve the political system' 
Introducing a system for 'recalling' MPs so that they would have to put themselves forward for immediate re-election if, between general elections, they are found guilty of breaking House of Commons rules and a large number of people in their constituency sign a petition calling for this82%
More use of national referendums to let voters have a direct say on important constitutional and policy issues77%
Allowing local referendums on important issues affecting local communities if enough people indicated that they wanted one76%
Fixed-term Parliaments so that Prime Ministers no longer have the power to choose the date of general elections and elections would take place on a fixed date every four years.74%
More 'free votes' - where MPs vote in Parliament on the basis of their own opinion, rather than being told how to vote by their party73%
Publishing the expenses claims of all public servants earning more than £150,00072%
Reducing the number of MPs in the House of Commons in order to reduce the cost to the taxpayer66%
Giving local councils the power to reverse Whitehall decisions to close local services, such as post offices, and the power to raise money locally to keep such services open66%
Stopping MPs from having second jobs56%
Changing Britain's electoral system from the present first-past-the-post system to a more proportional system where there is a closer link between votes cast and seats won.56%
MPs voting remotely - via the internet, video-link or by phone – so that they can spend more time in their constituencies and less time in Westminster56%
Creating a completely elected upper House of Parliament to replace the current House of Lords51%
Limiting MPs to being able to serve only a fixed number of terms in Parliament47%

The next general election, for Westminster MPs, has to take place in the next year or so. Which of the following do you think is the most likely result at the next general election?

[Change since April 29-30, when this question was last asked, shown in brackets]

 AllLabConLib Dem
A Conservative landslide (a majority of over 100 in the House of Commons)14%
(-2%)
7%23%11%
A Conservative victory but not with a very large majority in the House of Commons37%
(-2%)
16%55%50%
A 'hung Parliament' where no party has an overall majority in the House of Commons but the Conservatives are the largest party13%
(+1%)
10%10%18%
A 'hung Parliament' where no party has an overall majority in the House of Commons but Labour are the largest party10%
(+3%)
20%1%7%
A Labour victory but not with a very large majority in the House of Commons9%
(-5%)
28%5%7%
A Labour landslide (a majority of over 100 in the House of Commons)5%
(+1%)
13%3%4%
 AllLabConLD
ALL CONSERVATIVE VICTORY51%
(-4%)
23%78%61%
ALL LABOUR VICTORY14%
(-4%)
41%8%11%
ALL HUNG PARLIAMENT23%
(+4%)
30%11%25%
 AllLabConLD
CONSERVATIVES LARGEST PARTY64%
(-3%)
33%88%79%
LABOUR LARGEST PARTY25%61%9%18%
.