Political Attitudes
Fieldwork: December 3rd 2004 - December 5th 2004
published by The Times
Voting Intention
On the basis of your view of the parties at the moment, if there were a general election tomorrow, which party would you vote for? [Change on last month's poll for The Times in brackets]
| Labour | 37% | (+3%) |
| Conservative | 33% | (-) |
| Liberal Democrats | 20% | (-2%) |
| Others | 10% | (-1%) |
The ‘Others' vote of 10% is broken down as follows:
| SNP | 2% | (-2%) |
| Plaid Cymru | 1% | (-) |
| UKIP | 2% | (-) |
| Green | 2% | (-) |
| Other Parties | 2% | (-) |
David Blunkett
Which of the following statements comes closet to your view?
| | All | Men | Women | Lab | Tory | Lib Dem | Swing | 18-24 | 25-34 | 35-44 | 45-54 | 55-64 | 65+ |
| It doesn't matter what politicians do in their private lives as long as it doesn't interfere with how they perform in their jobs. | 50% | 50% | 49% | 60% | 41% | 55% | 53% | 64% | 57% | 52% | 48% | 45% | 40% |
There has been considerable publicity recently about an affair between David Blunkett the Home Secretary and Kimberly Quinn, a married woman. I am going to read out some of the specific allegations made about Mr Blunkett's conduct – please say in each case if you think it is serious allegation or not.
| Serious Allegration? (All voters) | Very Serious | Quite Serious | Not serious |
| misuses his position to help lover's nanny get a visa to stay in Britain | 37% | 32% | 25% |
| had an affair with a married woman | 18% | 24% | 53% |
| let lover use MP's rail pass & travel in govt. car | 28% | 38% | 30% |
| legal case to gain access rights to son | 21% | 29% | 43% |
| Serious Allegation (% saying 'very serious' or 'serious' | All | Men | Women | Lab | Tory | Lib Dem | Swing | 18-24 | 25-34 | 35-44 | 45-54 | 55-64 | 65+ |
| misuses his position to help lover's nanny get a visa to stay in Britain | 69% | 67% | 70% | 58% | 83% | 68% | 72% | 73% | 75% | 72% | 72% | 67% | 67% |
| had an affair with a married woman | 42% | 43% | 42% | 34% | 49% | 37% | 42% | 55% | 41% | 38% | 37% | 36% | 48% |
| let lover use MP's rail pass & travel in govt. car | 66% | 65% | 67% | 57% | 79% | 66% | 69% | 67% | 67% | 66% | 69% | 67% | 62% |
| legal case to gain access rights to son | 50% | 49% | 51% | 45% | 65% | 42% | 48% | 64% | 49% | 53% | 48% | 40% | 49% |
There has been considerable publicity recently about an affair between David Blunkett the Home Secretary and Kimberly Quinn, a married woman. I am going to read out some of the specific allegations made about Mr Blunkett's conduct – please say in each case if you think it should be grounds for him to resign or not.
| A RESIGNING ISSUE ? (All voters) Grounds to resign |
| Not grounds to resign misuses his position to help lover's nanny get a visa to stay in Britain | 41% | 54%
|
| had an affair with a married woman | 18% | 77% |
| Let lover use MP's rail pass & travel in govt. car | 28% | 67% |
| legal case to gain access rights to son | 13% | 82% |
| A Resigning Issue (% saying 'very serious' or 'serious') | All | Men | Women | Lab | Tory | Lib Dem | Swing | 18-24 | 25-34 | 35-44 | 45-54 | 55-64 | 65+ |
| misuses his position to help lover's nanny get a visa to stay in Britain | 41% | 46% | 36% | 28% | 60% | 39% | 42% | 42% | 34% | 46% | 49% | 40% | 36% |
| had an affair with a married woman | 18% | 21% | 16% | 11% | 26% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 26% |
| let lover use MP's rail pass & travel in govt. car | 28% | 30% | 26% | 19% | 37% | 23% | 26% | 23% | 22% | 26% | 33% | 25% | 35% |
| legal case to gain access rights to son | 13% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 19% | 10% | 11% | 20% | 9% | 9% | 16% | 13% | 15% |
As a result of this story do you think that (i) David Blunkett personally and (ii) the government as a whole has more integrity than you thought or less integrity than you thought, or has it made no real difference to your view?
| DAVID BLUNKETT'S INTEGRITY | All | Men | Women | Lab | Tory | Lib Dem | Swing | 18-24 | 25-34 | 35-44 | 45-54 | 55-64 | 65+ |
| More than I thought | 6% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 9% |
| Less than i thought | 31% | 33% | 28% | 27% | 40% | 36% | 31% | 22% | 22% | 38% | 36 % | 34% | 30% |
| No difference | 60% | 58% | 61% | 61% | 53% | 56% | 59% | 68% | 67% | 55% | 54% | 58% | 58% |
| Government's Intergrity | All | Men | Women | Lab | Tory | Lib Dem | Swing | 18-24 | 25-34 | 35-44 | 45-54 | 55-64 | 65+ |
| | More than I thought | 6% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 7% -6% | 11% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% |
| Less than i thought | 26% | 28% | 24% | 15% - | 45% | 27% | 27% | 22% | 27% | 27% | 22 % | 29% | 30% |
| No difference | 65% | 63% | 66% | 76% | 47% | 63% | 63% | 65% | 65% | 65% | 73% | 63% | 59% |
Tax Spending & the Economy
Which of the following statements comes closest to your view?
| BRITAINS' ECONOMY... | All | Men | Women | Labour | Tory | Lib Dem | Swing | AB | C1 | C2 | DE |
| strong enough for the govt to increase spending on public services further without tax rises | 47% | 49% | 45% | 55% | 40% | 38% | 48% | 40% | 48% | 55% | 44% |
| Cannot afford further increases in public spending without higher taxes | 47% | 47% | 47% | 42% | 59% | 57% | 48% | 55% | 47% | 40% | 48% |
If, after the next election, whichever party was in power faced a choice between raising taxes and cutting spending, which would you prefer to see them do?
| | All | Men | Women | Labour | Tory | Lib Dem | Swing | AB | C1 | C2 | DE |
| Raise taxes | 26% | 29% | 23% | 36% | 16% | 38% | 23% | 31% | 27% | 18% | 25% |
| Cut spending | 63% | 61% | 66% | 55% | 75% | 56% | 69% | 58% | 61% | 74% | 63% |
If, after the next election, whichever party was in power found big savings by cutting wasteful spending, would you prefer to see that money used to pay for tax cuts or increased spending on public services?
| | All | Men | Women | Labour | Tory | Lib Dem | Swing | AB | C1 | C2 | DE |
| Cut taxes | 29% | 30% | 28% | 24% | 38% | 21% | 31% | 23% | 29% | 33% | 30% |
| Increase spending on public services | 68% | 69% | 68% | 75% | 60% | 78% | 67% | 74% | 69% | 65% | 65% |
Thinking ahead to the period after the next general election, do you expect that taxes will go up, or stay about the same or be cut if Labour is re-elected?
| | All | Men | Women | Labour | Tory | Lib Dem | Swing | AB | C1 | C2 | DE |
| Taxes will rise | 71% | 74% | 69% | 55% | 90% | 85% | 70% | 72% | 70% | 74% | 70% |
| Taxes will be cut | 3% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 2% |
| Taxes will stay the same | 19% | 19% | 19% | 35% | 7% | 10% | 18% | 20% | 21% | 15% | 19% |
| Don't know | 7% | 3% | 10% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 9% |
And what if the Conservatives are elected?
| | All | Men | Women | Labour | Tory | Lib Dem | Swing | AB | C1 | C2 | DE |
| Taxes will rise | 48% | 48% | 49% | 55% | 32% | 57% | 47% | 48% | 41% | 51% | 53% |
| Taxes will be cut | 13% | 14% | 12% | 16% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 11% | 11% |
| Taxes will stay the same | 26% | 30% | 22% | 17% | 39% | 17% | 29% | 27% | 31% | 26% | 21% |
| Don't know | 13% | 9% | 17% | 12% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 15% |
Which of the following is closest to your view?
| | All | Men | Women | Lab | Tory | Lib Dem | Swing | AB | C1 | C2 | DE |
| Britain's economy is doing well- largely because of Gordon Brown's policies | 32% | 37% | 28% | 64% | 13% | 19% | 32% | 37% | 27% | 35% | 32% |
| Britain's economy is doing well & that is not much to do with Gordon Brown's policy | 32% | 34% | 31% | 20% | 44% | 32% | 37% | 36% | 33% | 35% | 24 % |
| Britain's economy is not doing well - largely because of Gordon Brown's policies | 11% | 11% | 12% | 3% | 20% | 17% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 11% | 14% |
| Britain's economy is not doing well & that is not much to do with Gordon Brown's policies | 16% | 14% | 17% | 9% | 19% | 22% | 12% | 13% | 17% | 13% | 19 % |
Likeabilty of Leading Politicians
| Do they have a likeable personality? [% saying yes] All | Men | Women | Lab | Tory | Lib Dem | Swing | AB | C1 | C2 | DE |
| Gordon Brown | 50% | 48% | 53% | 65% | 41% | 52% | 53% | 52% | 46% | 46% | 56% |
| Tony Blair | 49% | 47% | 51% | 81% | 36% | 37% | 53% | 48% | 50% | 47% | 50% |
| Michael Howard | 36% | 38% | 34% | 30% | 61% | 35% | 32% | 44% | 33% | 36% | 32% |
| Charles Kennedy | 50% | 54% | 46% | 50% | 53% | 84% | 52% | 56% | 51% | 46% | 45% |
Christmas
In total, how much do you expect to spend on Christmas presents this year? [Last year's average spending in brackets]
| | All | Men | Women | AB | C1 | C2 | DE |
| Up to £100 | 12% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 15% | 4% | 17% |
| £100 - £200 | 13% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 8% | 10% | 21% |
| £201 - £300 | 14% | 13% | 15% | 12% | 12% | 20% | 14% |
| £301- £500 | 23% | 24% | 22% | 23% | 24% | 24% | 20% |
| £501 - £750 | 9% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 5% |
| £750 - £1,000 | 8% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 13% | 5% |
| More than £1,000 | 7% | 10% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 3% |
Age Breakdown
| | 18-24 | 25-34 | 35-44 | 45-54 | 55-64 | 65+ |
| Up to £100 | 19% | 5% | 5% | 14% | 15% | 20% |
| £100 - £200 | 13% | 13% | 9% | 12% | 10% | 21% |
| £201 - £300 | 19% | 14% | 16% | 8% | 14% | 16% |
| £301- £500 | 15% | 34% | 21% | 24% | 27% | 15 |
| £501 - £750 | 2% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 4% |
| £750 - £1,000 | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 3% | 2% |
| More than £1,000 | 5% | 5% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 3% |
Regional
| | GB | South East | Midlands | North | Wales & SW | Scotland |
| Average | £412.26 [£425.03] | £389.16 [£385.49] | £398.87 [£386.15] | £451.79 [£486.86] | £404.58 [£447.17] | £416.34 [£448.34] |
I am going to read out some things that are associated with Christmas. Please say in each case if it is something you will do this Christmas?
| | All | Men | Women | AB | C1 | C2 | DE |
| Send round robin letter with family news with Christmas cards | 15% | 13% | 16% | 12% | 11% | 15% | 20% |
| Go carol singing locally | 16% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 15% | 14% | 13% |
| Watch the Queen's Christmas day broadcast | 46% | 45% | 47% | 43% | 46% | 39% | 54% |
| Give up Christmas tip to any or all of your postman, dustman or milkman | 62% | 61% | 63% | 66% | 60% | 60% | 61% |
Age Breakdown
| | 18-24 | 25-34 | 35-44 | 45-54 | 55-64 | 65+ |
| Send round robin letter with family news with Christmas cards | 14% | 12% | 9% | 13% | 21% | 19% |
| Go carol singing locally | 9% | 26% | 8% | 12% | 21% | 15% |
| Watch the Queen's Christmas day broadcast | 33% | 36% | 36% | 44% | 56% | 68% |
| Give up Christmas tip to any or all of your postman, dustman or milkman | 44% | 61% | 56% | 69% | 68% | 68% |