Poll Archive

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Political Attitudes

Fieldwork: December 3rd 2004 - December 5th 2004

published by The Times

Voting Intention

On the basis of your view of the parties at the moment, if there were a general election tomorrow, which party would you vote for? [Change on last month's poll for The Times in brackets]

Labour 37%(+3%)
Conservative 33% (-)
Liberal Democrats 20% (-2%)
Others 10% (-1%)

The ‘Others' vote of 10% is broken down as follows:

SNP 2% (-2%)
Plaid Cymru 1% (-)
UKIP 2% (-)
Green 2% (-)
Other Parties 2% (-)

David Blunkett

Which of the following statements comes closet to your view?

 All Men Women Lab Tory Lib Dem Swing 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
It doesn't matter what politicians do in their private lives as long as it doesn't interfere with how they perform in their jobs.50% 50% 49% 60% 41% 55% 53%64% 57% 52% 48% 45% 40%

There has been considerable publicity recently about an affair between David Blunkett the Home Secretary and Kimberly Quinn, a married woman. I am going to read out some of the specific allegations made about Mr Blunkett's conduct – please say in each case if you think it is serious allegation or not.

Serious Allegration? (All voters) Very Serious Quite Serious Not serious
misuses his position to help lover's nanny get a visa to stay in Britain 37% 32% 25%
had an affair with a married woman 18%24% 53%
let lover use MP's rail pass & travel in govt. car 28% 38% 30%
legal case to gain access rights to son 21% 29% 43%
Serious Allegation (% saying 'very serious' or 'serious' All Men Women Lab Tory Lib Dem Swing 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
misuses his position to help lover's nanny get a visa to stay in Britain 69% 67% 70% 58% 83% 68% 72% 73% 75% 72% 72% 67% 67%
had an affair with a married woman 42% 43% 42% 34% 49% 37% 42% 55% 41% 38% 37%36% 48%
let lover use MP's rail pass & travel in govt. car 66% 65% 67% 57% 79% 66% 69% 67% 67% 66% 69% 67% 62%
legal case to gain access rights to son 50% 49% 51% 45% 65% 42% 48% 64% 49% 53% 48%40% 49%

There has been considerable publicity recently about an affair between David Blunkett the Home Secretary and Kimberly Quinn, a married woman. I am going to read out some of the specific allegations made about Mr Blunkett's conduct – please say in each case if you think it should be grounds for him to resign or not.

A RESIGNING ISSUE ? (All voters) Grounds to resign
Not grounds to resign misuses his position to help lover's nanny get a visa to stay in Britain 41% 54%
had an affair with a married woman 18% 77%
Let lover use MP's rail pass & travel in govt. car 28% 67%
legal case to gain access rights to son 13% 82%
A Resigning Issue (% saying 'very serious' or 'serious') All Men Women Lab Tory Lib Dem Swing 18-24 25-3435-44 45-54 55-64 65+
misuses his position to help lover's nanny get a visa to stay in Britain 41% 46% 36% 28% 60% 39% 42% 42% 34% 46% 49% 40% 36%
had an affair with a married woman 18% 21% 16% 11% 26% 17% 17% 16% 12% 21% 19%15% 26%
let lover use MP's rail pass & travel in govt. car 28% 30% 26% 19% 37% 23% 26% 23% 22% 26% 33% 25% 35%
legal case to gain access rights to son 13% 14% 12% 8% 19% 10% 11% 20% 9% 9% 16%13% 15%

As a result of this story do you think that (i) David Blunkett personally and (ii) the government as a whole has more integrity than you thought or less integrity than you thought, or has it made no real difference to your view?

DAVID BLUNKETT'S INTEGRITY All Men Women Lab Tory Lib Dem Swing 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
More than I thought 6% 7% 6% 9% 4% 7% 6% 4%8% 4% 8% 5% 9%
Less than i thought 31% 33% 28%27% 40% 36% 31% 22% 22% 38% 36 %34% 30%
No difference 60% 58% 61% 61% 53% 56% 59% 68% 67% 55% 54% 58% 58%
Government's Intergrity All Men Women Lab Tory Lib Dem Swing 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
 More than I thought 6% 7% 5% 7% 8%7% -6% 11% 4% 5% 5% 6% 7%
Less than i thought 26% 28% 24% 15% -45% 27% 27% 22% 27% 27% 22 %29% 30%
No difference 65% 63% 66% 76% 47% 63% 63%65% 65%65% 73% 63% 59%

Tax Spending & the Economy

Which of the following statements comes closest to your view?

BRITAINS' ECONOMY... All Men Women Labour Tory Lib Dem Swing AB C1 C2 DE
strong enough for the govt to increase spending on public services further without tax rises 47% 49% 45% 55% 40% 38% 48% 40% 48% 55% 44%
Cannot afford further increases in public spending without higher taxes 47% 47% 47% 42% 59% 57% 48% 55% 47% 40% 48%

If, after the next election, whichever party was in power faced a choice between raising taxes and cutting spending, which would you prefer to see them do?

 All Men Women Labour Tory Lib Dem Swing AB C1 C2 DE
Raise taxes 26% 29% 23%36% 16% 38% 23% 31% 27% 18% 25%
Cut spending 63% 61% 66% 55% 75% 56% 69% 58% 61% 74% 63%

If, after the next election, whichever party was in power found big savings by cutting wasteful spending, would you prefer to see that money used to pay for tax cuts or increased spending on public services?

 All Men Women Labour Tory Lib Dem Swing AB C1 C2 DE
Cut taxes 29% 30% 28% 24% 38% 21% 31% 23% 29% 33% 30%
Increase spending on public services 68% 69% 68% 75% 60% 78% 67% 74% 69% 65% 65%

Thinking ahead to the period after the next general election, do you expect that taxes will go up, or stay about the same or be cut if Labour is re-elected?

 All Men Women Labour Tory Lib Dem Swing AB C1 C2 DE
Taxes will rise 71% 74% 69% 55% 90% 85% 70% 72% 70% 74% 70%
Taxes will be cut 3%3% 3% 7% 3% 0% 6% 2%3% 6% 2%
Taxes will stay the same 19% 19% 19% 35% 7% 10% 18% 20% 21% 15% 19%
Don't know 7% 3% 10% 3% 0% 5% 6% 5% 6% 6% 9%

And what if the Conservatives are elected?

 All Men Women Labour Tory Lib Dem Swing AB C1 C2 DE
Taxes will rise 48% 48% 49% 55% 32% 57% 47% 48% 41% 51% 53%
Taxes will be cut 13% 14% 12% 16% 23% 16% 10% 13% 15% 11%11%
Taxes will stay the same 26% 30% 22% 17%39% 17% 29% 27% 31% 26% 21%
Don't know 13% 9% 17% 12% 6% 12% 14% 11% 12%12% 15%

Which of the following is closest to your view?

 All Men Women Lab Tory Lib Dem Swing AB C1 C2 DE
Britain's economy is doing well- largely because of Gordon Brown's policies 32% 37% 28% 64% 13% 19% 32% 37% 27% 35% 32%
Britain's economy is doing well & that is not much to do with Gordon Brown's policy 32% 34% 31% 20% 44% 32% 37% 36% 33% 35% 24 %
Britain's economy is not doing well - largely because of Gordon Brown's policies 11% 11% 12% 3% 20% 17% 10% 8% 12% 11% 14%
Britain's economy is not doing well & that is not much to do with Gordon Brown's policies 16% 14% 17% 9% 19% 22% 12%13% 17% 13% 19 %

Likeabilty of Leading Politicians

Do they have a likeable personality? [% saying yes] All Men Women Lab Tory Lib Dem Swing AB C1 C2 DE
Gordon Brown 50% 48% 53% 65% 41% 52% 53% 52%46% 46%56%
Tony Blair 49% 47% 51% 81% 36% 37% 53% 48% 50% 47% 50%
Michael Howard 36% 38% 34% 30% 61% 35% 32% 44% 33% 36% 32%
Charles Kennedy 50% 54% 46% 50% 53% 84% 52% 56% 51% 46% 45%

Christmas

In total, how much do you expect to spend on Christmas presents this year? [Last year's average spending in brackets]

 All Men Women AB C1 C2 DE
Up to £100 12% 12% 13% 12% 15% 4% 17%
£100 - £200 13% 13% 14% 16% 8% 10% 21%
£201 - £300 14% 13% 15% 12%12% 20% 14%
£301- £500 23% 24% 22% 23% 24% 24% 20%
£501 - £750 9% 10% 9% 7% 11% 10% 5%
£750 - £1,000 8% 8% 6% 10%7% 13% 5%
More than £1,000 7% 10% 6% 8% 10% 6% 3%

Age Breakdown

 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
Up to £100 19% 5% 5% 14% 15% 20%
£100 - £200 13% 13% 9% 12% 10% 21%
£201 - £300 19% 14% 16% 8% 14% 16%
£301- £500 15% 34% 21% 24% 27% 15
£501 - £750 2% 10% 11% 10% 12% 4%
£750 - £1,000 11% 11% 12% 11% 3% 2%
More than £1,000 5% 5% 14% 8% 5% 3%

Regional

 GB South East Midlands North Wales & SW Scotland
Average £412.26 [£425.03] £389.16 [£385.49] £398.87 [£386.15] £451.79 [£486.86] £404.58 [£447.17] £416.34 [£448.34]

I am going to read out some things that are associated with Christmas. Please say in each case if it is something you will do this Christmas?

 All Men Women AB C1 C2 DE
Send round robin letter with family news with Christmas cards 15% 13% 16% 12% 11% 15% 20%
Go carol singing locally 16% 14% 17% 19% 15% 14% 13%
Watch the Queen's Christmas day broadcast 46% 45% 47% 43% 46% 39% 54%
Give up Christmas tip to any or all of your postman, dustman or milkman 62% 61% 63% 66% 60% 60% 61%

Age Breakdown

 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
Send round robin letter with family news with Christmas cards 14% 12% 9% 13% 21% 19%
Go carol singing locally 9% 26% 8% 12% 21% 15%
Watch the Queen's Christmas day broadcast 33% 36% 36% 44% 56% 68%
Give up Christmas tip to any or all of your postman, dustman or milkman 44% 61% 56% 69% 68% 68%
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