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Conference Poll

Fieldwork: September 8th 2006 - September 10th 2006

published by The Times

The Political Spectrum

Journalists often discuss politics on the basis of a left-right political spectrum and talk about politicians being on the left or on the right, or being left wing or right wing. Thinking about your own political views, roughly where do you think you are on the left-right political spectrum on a 10-point scale where 10 means very right wing, and 5 means exactly in the centre? And on the same scale where would you put the Labour Party, the Conservative Party and the Liberal Democrats? And where would you put Tony Blair, Gordon Brown, David Cameron and Menzies Campbell on the scale?

Table shows average position among all voters:

 LEFT CENTRE RIGHT
 0Lib Dem party Menzies CampbellGordon BrownLabour Party5WomenAverage VoterTony BlairMenDavid CameronConservative party10
  4.6 4.824.854.97 5.145.275.295.416.006.09

Characteristics of the Parties

[Change on last year's pre-conference poll in brackets where applicable]

Characteristics of the parties (% saying TRUE)LabourConservativeLib Dem
Understands the way people live their lives in today's Britain35% (-7%)35% (+2%)43% (-12%)
Has a good team of leaders31% (-22%)41% (+21%)32% (-20%)
Shares my values30% (-9%)38% (+3%)38% (-12%)
Is honest and principled23% (-8%)31% (-3%)41% (-11%)
Is competent and capable36% (-15%)41% (+5%)32% (-14%)
Cares about the problems ordinary people have to deal with40% (-5%)36% (+2%)50% (-7%)
Is for the many, not just the few47%34%49%
Is a united party14% (-32%)49% (+21%)46% (-25%)

Best Party on Key Issues

 LabourConservativeLib DemNone of themNet Labour lead
Improving the National Health Service27%29%23%13%-2%
Manage Britain's economy well in bad times as well as good42%35%7%9%7%
Improving standards in schools31%33%19%11%-2%
Getting the right balance between taxes and public spending27%30%19%14%-3%
Supporting hard-working families34%26%19%13%8%
Dealing effectively with crime and anti-social behaviour23%39%11%20%-16%
Tackling the problem of global warming21%20%29%18%-8%
Representing Britain's best interests in the EU and on the international stage29%36%11%13%-7%

Preference of Government

All votersFeb-04May-04Sep-04Jan-05Mar-05Apr-05Apr-05May-05Jan-06May-06Sep-06
I am satisfied with the Labour Government overall19%19%19%25%20%22%24%27%26%16%16%
I am disappointed in the Labour Govt. overall, but I still prefer them to a Conservative Govt.41%39%41%32%34%33%33%34%33%34%35%
I am disappointed in the Labour Govt. overall and I would rather have a Conservative Govt.36%35%34%32%32%32%29%28%28%37%43

Statements About Labour

[Change on last year's pre-conference poll in brackets where applicable]

STATEMENTS ABOUT LABOUR (% AGREEING)All votersLabour votersAll non-Labour votersTory votersLib Dem voters
If Gordon Brown takes over from Tony Blair as Prime Minister the government's policies would significantly change46%
(-6%)
44%
(-8%)
47%
(-6%)
49%
(-12%)
45%
(-9%)
Labour has really changed from its old Labour past and won't go back even when Tony Blair retires68%
(-2%)
73%
(+7%)
66%
(-5%)
64%
(-9%)
73%
(-2%)
Labour will be more attractive to me once Tony Blair has gone35%
(-3%)
31%
(-)
36%
(-5%)
29%
(-14%)
49%
(+2%)
If Labour are to regain the trust of the voters, the successor to Tony Blair will need to be someone much less associated with the government's failings over the years than Gordon Brown is66%53%69%74%68%
STATEMENTS ABOUT LABOUR (NET: Agree minus Disagree)All votersLabour votersAll non-Labour votersTory votersLib Dem voters
If Gordon Brown took over from Tony Blair as Prime Minister the government's policies would significantly change-1%
(-9%)
-8%
(-15%)
0%
(-10%)
+2%
(-23%)
-7%
(-17%)
Labour has really changed from its old Labour past and won't go back even when Tony Blair retires+42%
(-1%)
+48%
(+13%)
+40%
(-7%)
+31%
(-17%)
+53%
(-)
Labour will be more attractive to me once Tony Blair has gone-24%
(-3%)
-33%
(+2%)
-22%
(-7%)
-38%
(-27%)
1%
(+4%)
If Labour are to regain the trust of the voters, the successor to Tony Blair will need to be someone much less associated with the government's failings over the years than Gordon Brown is+38%+12%+44%+51%+39%

Tony Blair's Legacy

[Change since 2005 conference poll in brackets]

HOW WILL TONY BLAIR GO DOWN IN HISTORY?AllLabourAll non-LabourToryLib Dem
A great Prime Minister6% (-)15% (-1%)4% (+2%)2% (+1%)4% (-)
A good Prime Minister38% (-4%)64% (+4%)32% (-3%)27% (+2%)42% (-)
An average Prime Minister36% (-3%)17% (-5%)40% (-6%)44% (-9%)36% (-2%)
A bad Prime Minister18% (+5%)3% (+1%)21% (+4%)26% (+5%)17% (+1%)

Thinking back to when Labour first came to power in 1997 and the various things that they set out to do for the country then, would you say that as a result of the things they've done Britain has changed for the better, for the worse, or not really changed at all?

[Change since 2005 conference poll in brackets]

BECAUSE OF WHAT LABOUR HAS DONE SINCE 1997, BRITAIN HAS…AllLabourAll non-LabourToryLib Dem
…changed significantly for the better12% (-)35% (+4%)7% (+3%)2% (+1%)9% (+6%)
…changed a little for the better34% (-1%)51% (+7%)31% (-)22% (+1%)43% (+3%)
Total 'changed for the better'46% (-1%)86% (+11%)38% (+3%)24% (+2%)52% (+9%)
…not really changed at all11% (-8%)3% (-12%)13% (-7%)13% (-7%)11% (-11%)
…changed a little for the worse17% (-1%)7% (-)19% (-4%)24% (-3%)17% (-5%)
…changed significantly for the worse24% (+8%)2% (-1%)29% (+8%)37% (+7%)18% (+4%)
Total 'changed for the worse'41% (+7%)9% (-1%)48% (+4%)62% (+5%)35% (-1%)
Net ('better' minus 'worse')5% (-8%)77% (+12%)-10% (-1%)-38% (-3%)17% (+10%)

Statements About The Liberal Democrats

[Change on last year's pre-conference poll in brackets where applicable]

STATEMENTS ABOUT LIBERAL DEMOCRATS (% AGREEING)All votersAll non-Lib Dem votersLib Dem votersLabour votersTory voters
They are basically a protest vote party, because they have no real chance of ever winning61% (-3%)65% (-3%)37% (-2%)68% (-)73% (-7%)
The Lib Dems are now a credible alternative to Labour because of their policies to redistribute wealth and on green issues51%46%83%43%43%
Lib Dems seem decent people but their policies probably don't really add up66% (+2%)72% (+3%)27% (-11%)72% (+5%)83% (+3%)
The Lib Dems made a big mistake in choosing Ming Campbell to replace Charles Kennedy47%46%51%53%48%
STATEMENTS ABOUT LIBERAL DEMOCRATS (NET: Agree minus Disagree)All votersAll non-Lib Dem votersLib Dem votersLabour votersTory voters
They are basically a protest vote party, because they have no real chance of ever winning+28% (-3%)-10%-16% (+4%)+40% (+2%)+48% (-14%)
The Lib Dems are now a credible alternative to Labour because of their policies to redistribute wealth and on green issues+9%0%+67%-8%-11%
Lib Dems seem decent people but their policies probably don't really add up+39% +7%)+52% (+10%)-42% (-18%)+50% (+12%)+68% (+5%)
The Lib Dems made a big mistake in choosing Ming Campbell to replace Charles Kennedy+10%+8%+6%+21%+6%
.